Kazakhstan revises 2025 GDP growth up, projects moderation in 2026

Kazakhstan revises 2025 GDP growth up, projects moderation in 2026

Shorouk Express Kazakhstan revises 2025 GDP growth up, projects moderation in 2026

ASTANA, Kazakhstan, December 3. Kazakhstan’s
economy is expected to expand 6.-6.5% in 2025, the National Bank of
Kazakhstan said, Trend reports.

As such, the NBK revised its earlier projection higher due to
faster-than-expected oil production and a recent pickup in
investment and consumer demand, partly ahead of the planned 2026
VAT reform.

For 2026, growth is now forecast at 3.5-4.5%, down from previous
expectations, reflecting the high 2025 base and the dampening
effects of tax and fiscal consolidation measures on domestic
demand.

Economic expansion is projected to reach 4-5% in 2027, supported
by continued investment growth, moderate consumer demand, and
higher oil output.

The central bank maintained its baseline oil price assumption at
$60 per barrel of Brent through the forecast horizon.

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